Services05

Predictive Analytics

Forecasting, churn and risk scoring trained on your own history, with the honest error bars attached.

What this is

You already have the data that says what is about to happen: renewals, claims, enrolments, cash flow. It sits in a warehouse being used to report the past. We train models on it to give you the near future, and we tell you how wrong they are likely to be.

Every model ships with a backtest against periods it never saw, so you can judge it on evidence. We would rather hand you a modest model you can trust than a flattering one that quietly degrades.

What you get

  • Feature engineering from your existing warehouse
  • Trained model with a backtest on unseen periods
  • Error bars and a stated confidence interval
  • Scheduled scoring written back to your systems
  • Drift monitoring with alerts when accuracy slips

When this is the right call

  • You plan capacity or cash flow on gut feel
  • You learn a customer is leaving when they leave
  • You want risk scored consistently instead of per-reviewer

Stack

  • Python
  • scikit-learn
  • XGBoost
  • dbt
  • BigQuery
  • MLflow
  • Airflow

Contact

Let us scope your predictive analytics work.

Send the problem as it stands. You will get a senior engineer on the first call, and a written scope before anyone talks about a number.